Angus Reid poll: BC NDP up by 20 points

There’s a new poll from Angus Reid Public Opinion today that suggests the B.C. New Democrats are 20 points up on the governing Liberals.

The poll has the NDP with 48 per cent support of decided voters, the Liberals at 28 per cent, the Green party at 11 per cent and the B.C. Conservatives up two points at 11 per cent.

All changes from the last Reid poll, taken Feb. 21-22, are within the margin of error for a poll of this sample size.

The poll was conducted Monday and Tuesday of this week. Reid surveyed 809 B.C. adults drawn from an online panel. A sample of this size drawn at random from the general population would have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 per cent, 19 times out of 20. (See note below.)

Here’s an updated chart of the polls taken so far this year:

Company Date Lib NDP Cons Green Other Method Sample +/-
Angus Reid 17-18 Jan 31 46 10 10 3 Online 802 3.5
Mustel 11-21 Jan 33 43 11 11 2 Phone 509 4.3
Justason 25 Jan – 1 Feb 26 48 12 11 3 Phone-online 600 4
Ekos 1-10 Feb 27.4 39.0 14.6 13.5 5.5 IVR* 687 3.7
Angus Reid 21-22 Feb 31 47 9 10 3 Online 803 3.5
Ipsos 8-12 Mar 32 51 9 7 1 Online 1,000 3.1
Angus Reid 18-19 Mar 48 28 11 11 2 Online 809 3.5

* Interactive Voice Response

Note: The sampling error margins given here are those provided by the pollster. While online polls have been very successful at predicting recent elections, there is a methodological controversy surrounding the citing of margins of error for online polls. Some experts hold that it is inappropriate to quote a margin of error for an online poll because participants in such polls are drawn from volunteer panels, rather than chosen at random from the general population. For more on this issue, see this story.

(I did a version of this item for The Tyee today that can be found here.)

2 thoughts on “Angus Reid poll: BC NDP up by 20 points

  1. jill allman April 8, 2013 / 10:17 am

    why is pei not included in this poll, is it because we are not important enough. we are burdened with a pemier who has no regard for the wishes of this island population. he has burdened them with a tax, (hst) , which no-one wants, and the only answer to those who oppose him, is well you can always move away!
    we feel ignored by the people who do these polls, without including ALL the Canadian provinces.


    • Tom Barrett April 11, 2013 / 1:05 pm

      This poll was about the election in British Columbia, so the respondents came from B.C. only.
      But as a former Island resident I agree that it is unfortunate that national polls tend to ignore PEI. Presumably there aren’t enough Islanders in the online panels to make up a meaningful sample.
      But it would be nice to know what Islanders think of their leaders in a poll like this:


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