There’s a new poll from Angus Reid Public Opinion today that suggests the B.C. New Democrats are 20 points up on the governing Liberals.
The poll has the NDP with 48 per cent support of decided voters, the Liberals at 28 per cent, the Green party at 11 per cent and the B.C. Conservatives up two points at 11 per cent.
All changes from the last Reid poll, taken Feb. 21-22, are within the margin of error for a poll of this sample size.
The poll was conducted Monday and Tuesday of this week. Reid surveyed 809 B.C. adults drawn from an online panel. A sample of this size drawn at random from the general population would have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 per cent, 19 times out of 20. (See note below.)
Here’s an updated chart of the polls taken so far this year:
|Angus Reid||17-18 Jan||31||46||10||10||3||Online||802||3.5|
|Justason||25 Jan – 1 Feb||26||48||12||11||3||Phone-online||600||4|
|Angus Reid||21-22 Feb||31||47||9||10||3||Online||803||3.5|
|Angus Reid||18-19 Mar||48||28||11||11||2||Online||809||3.5|
Note: The sampling error margins given here are those provided by the pollster. While online polls have been very successful at predicting recent elections, there is a methodological controversy surrounding the citing of margins of error for online polls. Some experts hold that it is inappropriate to quote a margin of error for an online poll because participants in such polls are drawn from volunteer panels, rather than chosen at random from the general population. For more on this issue, see this story.
(I did a version of this item for The Tyee today that can be found here.)